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Fantasy Stats Breakdown for Week 1 of NA LCS
Fantasy Stats Breakdown for Week 1 of NA LCS-October 2024
Oct 22, 2024 3:19 PM

  This article was originally published on GameSpot's sister site onGamers.com, which was dedicated to esports coverage.

  With week 1 over, and some fantasy leagues still being started, I wanted to dig into the LCS fantasy stats for week 1. While this was a superweek, still wouldn't really have any brash actions based on just this small sample of data, for example first picking Kerp or dropping Cloud9 for Millenium.

  

The full breakdown:

Some interesting things to note here. First, while TSM only went 3-1 on the week (compared to LMQ's 4-0), they actually are top ranked in 3 out of the 5 positions. This is really crazy because as a team TSM had less kills and less assists than LMQ, which is where the fantasy points come from. What is really strange is tsm has an odd distribution of points mainly because of Wildturtle, who had 30 points less than his LMQ counter-part, Vasili. Some other standout stats are from Millennium, who had a breakout week, and the downfall of Gambit, who was near the bottom on most of the stats along with complexity.

  The other thing is to look at distribution of picks. We saw some strong standouts in Top, Jungle, and ADC, who are like 10-15 points over the peers a few positions down, compared to some roles like support and mid which have a "stronger top 5", with more even picks between first and fifth. So if you still have some drafts to go, might be worth prioritizing AD and leaving support for the last because theres a good ~6 to pick from.

  

Role breakdown - Who should I flex?

So the next big question is which role you should go for your flex? Right now mid and ADC are the highest as expected, but mid is actually edging out adc which was untrue in the last split stats. If you have a strong pick for support or top it can edge out some of the weaker mid/adcs, but overall most weak ADC/Mids outperformed average top/supports.

  

Riot's Estimated Point Breakdown

  Lastly we wanted to look at Riot's estimations. Here are some of the people who broke riot's estimated points. Overall, Riot's point system isn't very effective, on average people strayed 18 points away from the estimator, which is a strong enough divergence that for most roles these two distributions fail a 95% T-test (meaning that statistically, they are likely not even based on the same distribution). So make sure you don't get baited by the estimated points when determining who should start on your fantasy vs who should be on the bench, use the actual stats or use some logic!

  Data collected with help by the onGamers Stats team: Derek 'Kathix' Adams, Jesse 'JALbert' Albert, Steven 'whedgehead' Falgout, Kent 'Traepoint' Frasure, Jake Morales, and James 'PelkaSupaFresh' Pelkey. Design by Ben 'Sarcasmappreciated' Li.

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